• Rough Cut Staff

First Cut: November Oscar Predictions


AMPAS

By Carson Cook, Jonny Diaz, and Zach D'Amico The 92nd Academy Awards will be held nearly a month early next year, on February 9, 2020, so we at Rough Cut have decided our predictions might as well start on the early side as well -- on Day 1.  We'll be doing a series of deep-dives on who should, could, and will be nominated and ultimately take home the little gold men in three months, but for now check out our latest predictions across the top eight categories. Projected winners in bold.


Best Picture


Zach

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

The Irishman

Marriage Story

Parasite

Jojo Rabbit

1917

Little Women

The Two Popes

Bombshell

Joker


Carson

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

The Irishman

Marriage Story

Parasite

Jojo Rabbit

1917

Little Women

The Two Popes

The Farewell

Ford v Ferrari

Jonny​

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

The Irishman

Marriage Story

Parasite

Jojo Rabbit

1917

Little Women

The Two Popes

Bombshell

Ford v Ferrari

Best Director


Zach

Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)

Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)

Sam Mendes (1917)

Fernando Meirelles (The Two Popes)


Carson

Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)

Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)

Noah Baumbach (Marriage Story)

Greta Gerwig (Little Women)

Jonny​

Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)

Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)

Noah Baumbach (Marriage Story)

Pedro Almodóvar (Pain and Glory)


Best Actress


Zach

Renée Zellweger (Judy)

Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)

Charlize Theron (Bombshell)

Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)

Awkwafina (The Farewell)


Carson

Renée Zellweger (Judy)

Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)

Charlize Theron (Bombshell)

Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)

Awkwafina (The Farewell)

Jonny​

Renée Zellweger (Judy)

Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)

Charlize Theron (Bombshell)

Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)

Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)


Best Actor


Zach

Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

Adam Driver (Marriage Story)

Robert De Niro (The Irishman)

Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)

Eddie Murphy (Dolemite is My Name)

Carson

Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

Adam Driver (Marriage Story)

Robert De Niro (The Irishman)

Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)

Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory)


Jonny​

Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

Adam Driver (Marriage Story)

Robert De Niro (The Irishman)

Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)

Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)


Best Supporting Actress


Zach

Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

Annette Bening (The Report)

Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)

Florence Pugh (Little Women)

Margot Robbie (Bombshell)


Carson

Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

Annette Bening (The Report)

Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)

Florence Pugh (Little Women)

Margot Robbie (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)


Jonny​

Laura Dern (Marriage Story)

Annette Bening (The Report)

Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)

Florence Pugh (Little Women)

Margot Robbie (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)


Best Supporting Actor


Zach

Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Al Pacino (The Irishman)

Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)

Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)

Joe Pesci (The Irishman)


Carson

Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Al Pacino (The Irishman)

Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)

Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)

Joe Pesci (The Irishman)


Jonny​

Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Al Pacino (The Irishman)

Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)

Willem Dafoe (The Lighthouse)

Sterling K. Brown (Waves)


Best Original Screenplay


Zach

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Marriage Story

Parasite

The Farewell

Bombshell

Carson

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Marriage Story

Parasite

The Farewell

Pain and Glory

Jonny​

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Marriage Story

Parasite

The Farewell

Knives Out


Best Adapted Screenplay


Zach

The Irishman

The Two Popes

Jojo Rabbit

Little Women

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood

Carson

The Irishman

The Two Popes

Jojo Rabbit

Little Women

Joker


Jonny​

The Irishman

The Two Popes

Jojo Rabbit

Little Women

Ford v Ferrari

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